Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.386876 0.501042 0.625115 0.768136 0.926785 1.095924 1.288498
2025-07-27 0.254980 0.412094 0.600241 0.833362 1.107128 1.412428 1.773190
2025-08-03 0.185621 0.360251 0.585314 0.877894 1.233540 1.640323 2.130595
2025-08-10 0.123471 0.300000 0.547128 0.884293 1.307574 1.802736 2.409705
2025-08-17 0.065072 0.223975 0.473218 0.833612 1.302585 1.864404 2.565062
2025-08-24 0.026609 0.159566 0.401961 0.775906 1.280694 1.899520 2.683819
2025-08-31 0.009501 0.122312 0.363033 0.755855 1.301876 1.983099 2.856816
2025-09-07 0.002671 0.101322 0.346087 0.763930 1.357628 2.107794 3.078071
2025-09-14 0.000019 0.078940 0.321038 0.756568 1.390400 2.202089 3.261141
2025-09-21 NaN 0.057260 0.290741 0.737345 1.404466 2.270919 3.411637
2025-09-28 NaN 0.054104 0.299701 0.780184 1.504467 2.449688 3.697868
2025-10-05 NaN 0.053568 0.314510 0.832528 1.617902 2.645939 4.006038
2025-10-12 NaN 0.049476 0.321346 0.874453 1.720978 2.834484 4.312138
2025-10-19 NaN 0.051976 0.345789 0.946940 1.868971 3.083133 4.695459
2025-10-26 NaN 0.049182 0.355332 0.993785 1.980009 3.283415 5.018126
2025-11-02 NaN 0.039195 0.342216 1.000820 2.033395 3.408286 5.246519
2025-11-09 NaN 0.021684 0.296345 0.946615 1.995633 3.412024 5.321721
2025-11-16 NaN 0.008851 0.249713 0.884850 1.943008 3.393513 5.366752
2025-11-23 NaN 0.003744 0.226338 0.863346 1.948279 3.450423 5.505792
2025-11-30 NaN 0.001882 0.218780 0.872008 1.998934 3.568114 5.722225
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000373 0.203878 0.864112 2.023286 3.649731 5.892157
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.184055 0.843483 2.026601 3.701966 6.023798
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.194626 0.889431 2.135069 3.898399 6.341703